TrendingBreakingNew
PoliticsSportsCryptoFinanceGeopoliticsEarningsTechCultureWorldEconomyClimate & ScienceMentionsElections

Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market™

All markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

35%

chance

Yes

No

$5M Vol.

US x Iran ceasefire by...? card icon

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

April 30

68%

Yes68%No32%

May 31

74%

Yes74%No26%

June 30

78%

Yes78%No22%

$6M Vol.

BTC 5 Minute Up or Down card icon

BTC 5 Minute Up or Down

50%

Up

Up

Down

Live

$41M Vol.

Next Supreme Leader of Iran? card icon

Next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Hassan Khomeini

21%

Yes21%No79%

Alireza Arafi

19%

Yes19%No81%

Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i

13%

Yes13%No87%

Position abolished

11%

Yes11%No89%

Ali Larijani

8%

Yes8%No92%

NEW

·

$5M Vol.

US/Israel strikes Iran on...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran on...?

March 3

99%

Yes99%No1%

March 4

98%

Yes98%No2%

March 5

97%

Yes97%No3%

March 6

95%

Yes95%No5%

March 7

93%

Yes93%No7%

$5M Vol.

0

Pisa SC

19%

0

Bologna FC 1909

32%

Pisa SC

DRAW

Bologna FC

2H - 64

$2M Vol.

·Serie A
1

Passion UA

61%

1

FUT Esports

39%

Passion UA

FUT Esports

Game 3

$869K Vol.

·CS2
1

Paper Rex

73%

0

NRG

27%

Paper Rex

NRG

Game 2

$247K Vol.

·Valorant

Red Wings

52%

Predators

49%

Red Wings

Predators

$999K Vol.

·NHL· 8:00 PM

Real Madrid CF

71%

Getafe CF

10%

Real Madrid

DRAW

Getafe CF

$2M Vol.

·La Liga· 9:00 PM

G2

76%

Legacy

25%

G2

Legacy

$208K Vol.

·CS2· 8:45 PM

Celtics

57%

Bucks

43%

Celtics

Bucks

$1M Vol.

·NBA·Tomorrow 1:30 AM

Blue Jackets

54%

Rangers

47%

Blue

Rangers

$685K Vol.

·NHL·Tomorrow 1:00 AM
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...? card icon

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

March 7

6%

Yes6%No94%

March 15

16%

Yes16%No84%

March 31

37%

Yes37%No63%

May 15

59%

Yes59%No41%

June 30

79%

Yes79%No21%

$631K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

22%

chance

Yes

No

$290K Vol.

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March? card icon

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?

↑ $90

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑ $80

59%

Yes59%No41%

↑ $75

78%

Yes78%No22%

↑ $70

98%

Yes98%No2%

↓ $65

35%

Yes35%No65%

$1M Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

40%

Up

Up

Down

$501K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? card icon

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

62%

chance

Yes

No

$251K Vol.

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner card icon

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

James Talarico

75%

Yes75%No25%

Jasmine Crockett

23%

Yes23%No77%

Colin Allred

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Emily Morgul

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Michael Swanson

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$3M Vol.

New Supreme Leader of Iran by...? card icon

New Supreme Leader of Iran by...?

March 2

1%

Yes1%No99%

March 6

38%

Yes38%No62%

March 15

68%

Yes68%No32%

March 31

80%

Yes80%No20%

NEW

·

$1M Vol.

US forces enter Iran by..? card icon

US forces enter Iran by..?

March 3

2%

Yes2%No98%

March 7

8%

Yes8%No92%

March 14

16%

Yes16%No84%

March 31

25%

Yes25%No75%

December 31

43%

Yes43%No57%

$3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? card icon

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31

7%

Yes7%No93%

June 30

27%

Yes27%No73%

December 31

39%

Yes39%No61%

$4M Vol.

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? card icon

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

March 31

38%

Yes38%No62%

June 30

42%

Yes42%No58%

December 31

50%

Yes50%No50%

$5M Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? card icon

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

32%

chance

Yes

No

$228K Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$13M Vol.

Fed decision in March? card icon

Fed decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

1%

Yes1%No99%

25 bps decrease

2%

Yes2%No98%

No change

97%

Yes97%No3%

25+ bps increase

1%

Yes1%No99%

$198M Vol.

How long will the DHS shutdown last? card icon

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

21+ days

94%

Yes94%No6%

30+ days

70%

Yes70%No30%

60+ days

19%

Yes19%No81%

$1M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

50%

chance

Yes

No

$7M Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? card icon

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

56%

chance

Yes

No

$296K Vol.

2026 NBA Champion card icon

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder

36%

Yes36%No64%

San Antonio Spurs

12%

Yes12%No88%

Denver Nuggets

12%

Yes12%No88%

Boston Celtics

8%

Yes8%No92%

Cleveland Cavaliers

8%

Yes8%No92%

$326M Vol.

Will US or Israel strike Iran first? card icon

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

44%

US

US

Israel

$4M Vol.

Cloud9

0%

LYON

100%

Cloud9

LYON

$2M Vol.

·LoL·Mar 01, 10:10 PM
UEFA Champions League Winner card icon

UEFA Champions League Winner

Arsenal

27%

Yes27%No73%

Bayern Munich

16%

Yes16%No84%

Barcelona

15%

Yes15%No85%

Man City

9%

Yes9%No91%

PSG

9%

Yes9%No91%

Liverpool

9%

Yes9%No91%

Real Madrid

7%

Yes7%No93%

Atletico Madrid

3%

Yes3%No97%

Chelsea

3%

Yes3%No97%

Bodo Glimt

2%

Yes2%No98%

Newcastle

2%

Yes2%No98%

$255M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets February 28 - March 2, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets February 28 - March 2, 2026?

40-64

100%

Yes100%No<1%

65-89

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

90-114

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

115-139

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

140-164

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

165-189

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

190-214

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

215-239

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

240+

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$3M Vol.

Daily
Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

63%

Yes63%No37%

María Corina Machado

16%

Yes16%No84%

Nicolás Maduro

13%

Yes13%No87%

Edmundo González

3%

Yes3%No97%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

2%

Yes2%No98%

Vladimir Padrino López

1%

Yes1%No99%

Donald Trump

1%

Yes1%No99%

Marco Rubio

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Dinorah Figuera

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

Jorge Rodríguez

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

No Head of State

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$70M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets February 27 - March 6, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets February 27 - March 6, 2026?

60-79

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

80-99

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

100-119

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

120-139

1%

Yes1%No99%

140-159

4%

Yes4%No96%

160-179

10%

Yes10%No90%

180-199

13%

Yes13%No87%

200-219

19%

Yes19%No81%

220-239

18%

Yes18%No82%

240-259

12%

Yes12%No88%

260-279

6%

Yes6%No94%

$33M Vol.

Weekly

Markets by category and topics

Global ElectionsPredictionsParlaysPredictionsIsraelPredictionsCrypto PricesPredictionsCommoditiesPredictionsTrumpPredictionsIranPredictionsOilPredictionsLebanonPredictionsReza PahlaviPredictionsTexas SenatePredictionsNepal ElectionPredictionsOscarsPredictionsTweet MarketsPredictions

Support & Social

Learn𝕏 (Twitter)InstagramDiscordTikTokNewsContact us

Polymarket

RewardsAPIsLeaderboardAccuracyBrandActivityCareersPress
Adventure One QSS Inc. © 2026·Privacy·Terms of Use·Help Center·Docs

Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. This international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

     Dec

    Authentication

    Authentication

    Connect Wallet

    Invalid Seed Phrase!